Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
REN
1 - 0
NIC
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
NIC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
GIR
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ASN
0 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
TRO
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TFC
3 - 0
AJA
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
SOC
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
LEN
30%
29%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MET
2 - 0
AJA
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |