Nice II vs Valettoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FBP
2 - 2
NIC
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRI
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 1
NIC
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 3
LAS
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
EFB
1 - 0
NIC
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Valettoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 3
COR
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FUR
2 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
GAR
35%
26%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 0
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 1
NIM
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |