Nice II vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
NIC
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 2
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
FRE
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
FRE
3 - 2
UZE
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
FRE
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FRE
3 - 2
NIM
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |