Nice II vs Feurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 2
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
AND
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 2
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 6
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Feurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FEU
3 - 1
BOR
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 0
FEU
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FEU
3 - 0
ESP
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FEU
1 - 1
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
FEU
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |