Nice II vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
NIC
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 0
NIC
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 2
TOU
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAB
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
GAP
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
AND
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |