Newtown vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
6º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
39%
24%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 4
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 3
NEW
28%
22%
51%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
AIR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 4
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
CON
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |