Newport YMCA vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
NWP
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NWP
0 - 0
MAE
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
BFC
0 - 3
NWP
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 0
BRI
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DIN
4 - 0
NWP
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
ERA
1 - 0
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
GOY
2 - 1
ERA
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ERA
1 - 0
LID
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
TAF
1 - 1
ERA
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LLW
0 - 2
ERA
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |