Newport YMCA vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
DIN
3 - 1
NWP
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
1 - 2
ABE
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
0 - 6
CWM
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NWP
3 - 0
LID
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRO
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRO
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
CRO
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -4 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 3
NWP
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PON
0 - 3
CRO
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |