New York RB III vs Motown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 1
WES
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
MSC
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
NEW
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
MOE
0 - 0
NEW
11%
16%
74%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
MOE
89%
8%
4%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Motown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
MSC
2 - 1
FCM
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FCM
1 - 3
WCU
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
MOE
1 - 0
FCM
10%
15%
75%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 5
FCM
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
FCM
3 - 0
HER
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | +1 |