FA Euro vs New York RB III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
NEW
89%
9%
3%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
OCE
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
NEW
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LON
3 - 0
NEW
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
OCE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
JER
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
REA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
EVE
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEH
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |