FA Euro vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
57.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEH
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 2
NEW
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 3
NEW
12%
20%
69%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
NEW
89%
9%
3%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
OCE
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
JER
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
OCE
4 - 1
JER
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
JER
0 - 2
OCE
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
3 - 1
JER
16%
17%
68%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 2
JER
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |