Nervión vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CIU
1 - 3
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NER
2 - 3
UDV
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
NER
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NER
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
NER
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 1
TRI
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 2
UDM
31%
27%
43%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDT
49%
25%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 0
UDM
55%
25%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HUE
0 - 0
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |