AD Nervión U19 vs San Fernando CD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
12º
11º
42
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
96% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
96% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nervión U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UCD
4 - 0
NAD
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAD
5 - 0
PAL
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 3
NAD
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATS
0 - 6
NAD
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
NAD
2 - 2
SEV
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
COR
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FER
4 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 2
FER
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
FER
39%
23%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FER
3 - 1
PDR
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |