Neroca vs TRAU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
13
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
MOH
11%
21%
69%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
RAJ
5 - 1
NER
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
CHU
13%
21%
65%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 1
NER
31%
21%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
DFC
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
RAJ
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 2
TRA
16%
17%
67%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
6 - 3
TRA
27%
20%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
SHI
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
MOH
21%
25%
55%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |