Neroca vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
CHU
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
NER
3 - 0
PAI
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SHI
1 - 2
NER
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CCF
2 - 1
NER
43%
26%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RKF
0 - 2
NER
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 1
MBS
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 0
CCF
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 1
MIN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
PAI
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
SHI
2 - 2
MIN
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |