CD Nerja Fundación vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 2
NER
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NER
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
NER
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MIJ
1 - 0
NER
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
BAE
3 - 0
BAI
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MLK
2 - 1
BAE
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAE
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 3
ATM
47%
25%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAE
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |