Neretva vs Zmaj Blato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NER
0 - 0
OMI
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZMI
0 - 1
NER
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NER
0 - 0
IMO
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HRV
0 - 0
NER
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Blato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ZMA
1 - 0
HJK
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAK
1 - 0
ZMA
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZMA
1 - 0
ZAG
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KAM
2 - 0
ZMA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ZMA
1 - 1
JUN
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |