Neretva vs Zmaj Blato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PRB
2 - 0
NER
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NER
2 - 1
NKR
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
USK
4 - 2
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NER
0 - 1
NER
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAK
1 - 2
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Blato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ZMA
1 - 3
HRV
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PRI
4 - 0
ZMA
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ZMA
1 - 0
NKC
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
OMI
0 - 0
ZMA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZMA
2 - 0
HDK
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |