Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
OTO
0 - 3
NER
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ZMA
2 - 0
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NER
0 - 1
JAD
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ZAD
3 - 2
NER
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MAK
0 - 2
HAJ
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAK
4 - 0
OTO
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAK
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAK
4 - 2
ZMA
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
JAD
1 - 0
MAK
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |