Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
NER
3 - 0
ZAG
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GOS
4 - 0
NER
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HNS
4 - 0
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NER
3 - 3
PRI
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAK
1 - 1
JAD
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 1
MAK
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAK
2 - 0
NER
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +5 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 0
MAK
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAK
1 - 2
SOL
16%
24%
60%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |