Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ZAG
0 - 3
NER
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NER
0 - 1
KAM
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
NER
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NER
1 - 0
NKC
43%
26%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
NER
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAK
4 - 1
HJK
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HNS
4 - 1
MAK
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ZAG
4 - 2
MAK
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAK
0 - 1
KAM
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 2
MAK
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |