Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 0
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NER
1 - 0
HRV
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GOS
0 - 1
NER
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NER
1 - 3
HVB
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
JAD
3 - 1
NER
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NKC
2 - 1
MAK
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MAK
2 - 0
PRI
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HRV
1 - 0
MAK
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAK
2 - 1
GOS
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
HVB
1 - 0
MAK
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |