Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
OMI
1 - 1
NER
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
PRI
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
ZAG
3 - 1
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
HVB
4 - 2
NER
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NER
2 - 0
HDK
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAK
2 - 0
JAD
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAK
2 - 3
NKR
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
OMI
1 - 2
MAK
32%
25%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MAK
5 - 2
PRI
46%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ZAG
4 - 2
MAK
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |