Neretva vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HNS
4 - 0
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NER
3 - 3
PRI
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 0
NER
60%
24%
16%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
NER
2 - 0
ZMI
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HRV
2 - 1
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 2
ZAG
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAL
37%
27%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAK
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 3
HNS
17%
24%
58%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 4
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |