Neretva vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
HVB
1 - 2
NER
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HRV
0 - 0
NER
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NER
0 - 4
PRI
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NKC
0 - 1
NER
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
NER
2 - 1
ZAG
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
HRV
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
NKC
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
OMI
2 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
JAD
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |