Neretva vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NKD
4 - 0
NER
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NER
1 - 1
NER
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
NKC
2 - 0
NER
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
NER
1 - 4
NKR
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
NER
2 - 2
SPL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 3
HRV
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ZAG
2 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
NKG
44%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PRI
3 - 1
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
HVB
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |