Ner Poddebice vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ner Poddebice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
WDZ
2 - 0
NPO
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NPO
1 - 1
WSI
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PEL
2 - 2
NPO
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NPO
0 - 0
LWA
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 2
POL
10%
20%
70%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
0 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WDZ
0 - 1
UWA
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 0
WSI
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
UWA
0 - 1
ZAG
16%
25%
59%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |