Nepean Stars vs FC Kallon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepean Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
NSF
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DIA
1 - 0
NSF
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
NSF
3 - 1
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
NSF
0 - 0
OLD
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WSB
1 - 0
NSF
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kallon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCK
0 - 0
MIG
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
FCK
3 - 0
ABF
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 1
CEN
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
DIA
0 - 0
FCK
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
KAM
0 - 0
FCK
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |