Nemelaer vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
15º
46
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 0
NEM
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
3 - 2
WIT
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
NEM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 2
JUL
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
NEM
23%
21%
57%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
VEN
28%
20%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 3
NUE
60%
19%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EVV
1 - 0
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 3
UDI
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VEN
7 - 3
HVC
66%
17%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |