Nemelaer vs Unitas 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
15º
34
3º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 2
EVV
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 1
NEM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 1
SCK
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
4 - 2
NEM
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 0
UDI
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
NUE
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SCK
1 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
VEN
27%
19%
54%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIT
44%
20%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |