Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 1
NEC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
SNL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |