Necaxa vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
TIJ
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 1
ZAC
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAF
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 0
NEC
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
ZAC
14%
24%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 0
CIM
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
UDG
17%
28%
55%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CIM
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |