Navia CF vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UPL
3 - 0
NAI
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAI
0 - 0
COV
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 0
NAI
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NAI
2 - 0
ROB
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 0
NAI
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUA
2 - 1
TUI
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
2 - 1
LUA
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LUA
3 - 0
PCF
53%
25%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 2
LUA
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LUA
2 - 1
UNI
13%
22%
65%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |