Navarro vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
NAV
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
NAV
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 2
RAY
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
LUA
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
L20
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
TIN
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
CLA
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |