Navarro vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
RIB
2 - 2
NAV
51%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CAU
3 - 2
NAV
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
MAR
14%
23%
63%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
NAV
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 1
LEA
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
COV
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
COV
1 - 0
TUI
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CUD
3 - 2
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |