Naval vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |