CD Naval vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
COM
3 - 2
NAV
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
NAV
1 - 2
RIB
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
PON
1 - 0
NAV
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
NAV
1 - 1
SEL
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
ESC
0 - 0
COM
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
RIB
1 - 4
ESC
18%
27%
56%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
ESC
1 - 0
PON
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
SEL
1 - 0
ESC
23%
28%
49%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ESC
4 - 0
COL
86%
11%
3%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |