Náutico vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
OES
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
VCR
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VCR
1 - 3
SPO
6%
18%
76%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
YPI
1 - 1
VCR
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
VCR
2 - 1
LIM
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VCR
0 - 1
ISC
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |