Náutico vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAL
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
FLU
3 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAY
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
SCI
2 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
UNI
0 - 0
AMF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |