Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 4
NAU
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
ACA
88%
10%
2%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |