Náutico vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
4 - 0
NAU
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRZ
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAM
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |