Náutico vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 3
VAS
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAS
20%
28%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
TOM
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |