Náutico vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 3
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
POR
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
ICA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |