Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATP
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 0
GOI
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 3
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |