Náutico vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUV
5 - 1
NAU
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 2
ATL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
BOA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 1
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
4 - 1
BOA
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 1
CRI
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |