Náutico vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 3
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
AVA
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
BOA
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAS
14%
24%
62%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
AVA
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |