Náutico vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 1
PPE
27%
28%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
BOA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
SPO
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
75%
18%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |