Náutico vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 4
NAU
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
ACA
88%
10%
2%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 1
VCR
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SPO
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 1
AFO
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 0
ACA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |