Náutico vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 0
ACA
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
VCR
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ACA
88%
9%
2%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SED
1 - 2
ACA
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 1
PET
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |