Náutico el Quillá vs San Martín Monte Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico el Quillá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PDO
0 - 3
NAU
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
ESF
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 2
NAU
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
PDO
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESF
0 - 3
NAU
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Monte Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ESF
2 - 0
CSD
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 4
PDO
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 2
NAU
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 4
ESF
23%
20%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PDO
2 - 1
CSD
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |